Bitcoin – See the Reality https://www.seethereality.com Official Crypto News Website Fri, 17 May 2024 10:47:15 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.6.1 https://www.seethereality.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/cropped-onlinelogomaker-032123-0229-2177-32x32.png Bitcoin – See the Reality https://www.seethereality.com 32 32 Friend Tech Launches $FRIEND https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81182 https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81182#respond Fri, 17 May 2024 10:47:15 +0000 https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81182

Quick Take

  • Friend Tech launches its FRIEND token.

  • $70 million address poisoning attack.

  • LayerZero launches a self-report sybil program.

  • EigenDA onboards rollups to mainnet.


Harpie is an onchain security solution that protects your wallet from theft in realtime. Harpie helps you detect and block suspicious transactions before they execute, safeguarding your assets from malicious attacks and scams. Try Harpie for free at harpie.io/ethdaily.


Friend Tech Launches FRIEND

Friend Tech, a Base-native social application where users can trade profile-based shares, quietly launched its V2 update alongside its FRIEND token airdrop. Users who accumulated points over the previous eight months are now able to claim FRIEND tokens. FRIEND has a total supply of 72 million and a market cap of $130 million. Following its release, the price of FRIEND dropped to a low of approximately $1 but has since rebounded to around $1.90. Eligible users can instantly claim 10% of their airdrop and must follow at least 10 users and join a Club to unlock the remaining 90%. A Club is a tokenized chatroom featuring a custom price curve. FRIEND is used as the native currency for purchasing Club memberships.

$70 Million Address Poisoning Attack

A user lost $70 million from an address poisoning attack. The victim sent 1,155 WBTC to an attacker who spammed the victim’s wallet with a zero-value ETH transfer using an address that looks similar to their own. The attack vector aims to trick the victim into transferring assets to a similar-looking fraudulent address. In this case, the victim fell for the simple attack vector. Etherscan typically makes an effort to hide zero-value token transfers on its block explorer by default. However, some transfers can still slip through the filter. Users are advised to carefully verify addresses and refrain from copying addresses directly from Etherscan.

LayerZero Self-Report Sybil Program

LayerZero, a cross-chain messaging protocol, launched a self-report program for sybil users as part of its upcoming airdrop. The program rewards sybil users who voluntarily report themselves by granting them 15% of their intended allocation. Sybil users who fail to self-report and are identified by bounty hunters will forfeit their entire token allocation. Users have until May 17th to self-report. LayerZero is expanding the scope of sybil behavior to include more than just sybil factories. The protocol will flag the repetitive use of gas refueling dapps to appear active as sybil activity. LayerZero confirmed that the snapshot for its airdrop was taken on May 1st. LayerZero’s bridging protocol enables dapps to access cross-chain liquidity.

EigenDA Mainnet Rollup Onboarding

EigenDA, EigenLayer’s native data availability solution, is now onboarding rollups onto its mainnet. Although still in beta, the onboarding process is intended to stress test the network’s traffic capacity. EigenDA has 115 operators and 400,000 ETH in delegated stake from 42,000 re-stakers. EigenDA is set to be competitive with data blobs and will be production-ready as part of a general availability release in the upcoming months.

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Derivatives saw spike in Open Interest and volume as Bitcoin broke $66k https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81197 https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81197#respond Fri, 17 May 2024 10:47:13 +0000 https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81197 Bitcoin regained the $66,000 level in the night between May 15 and May 16, recovering some of the losses it incurred in the past week. This spike substantially impacted the derivatives market, significantly influencing both open interest and trading volume.

Futures open interest, which indicates the total value of outstanding futures contracts yet to be settled, experienced a marked increase. On May 15, futures open interest stood at $28.45 billion but surged to $31.18 billion by May 16. This represents a substantial increase of approximately 9.6%. This rise suggests a growing investor interest in Bitcoin futures, driven by the anticipation of further price movements. The rise in OI is essential as it shows an influx of new capital into the market, signaling traders’ expectations and potential price direction.

bitcoin futures open interest
Chart showing the open interest in Bitcoin futures from May 1 to May 16, 2024 (Source: CoinGlass)

In the options market, open interest also saw a significant uptick. On May 15, options open interest was $18.43 billion, rising to $20.71 billion by May 16. This increase of approximately 12.4% highlights the heightened activity and interest in options contracts as traders positioned themselves for the price surge.

bitcoin options open interest
Chart showing the open interest in Bitcoin options from May 1 to May 16, 2024 (Source: CoinGlass)

The distribution of options open interest on May 16, with calls accounting for 66.16% and puts for 33.84%, indicates a bullish sentiment among traders, expecting further upward movement in Bitcoin’s price. A deeper look at the options volume further confirms the overwhelmingly bullish sentiment. On May 16, the volume of call options constituted 58.18%, compared to 41.82% for puts, showing that traders were predominantly betting on the price increase.

btc derivatives options distribution
Screengrab showing the distribution of options open interest and volume on May 16, 2024 (Source: CoinGlass)

Deribit’s daily options volume dramatically increased, jumping from $1.01 billion on May 15 to $2.42 billion on May 16.

bitcoin options volume deribit
Graph showing the trading volume for Bitcoin options on Deribit from May 1 to May 16, 2024 (Source: CoinGlass)

The volume and distribution between shorts and longs provide further insights into the state of the market. On May 16, the total liquidations amounted to $150.52 million, with long liquidations at $40.76 million and short liquidations at $109.76 million. The significantly higher short liquidations indicate that many traders were caught off guard by the price increase, resulting in the forced closure of short positions. This liquidation asymmetry reinforces the bullish trend observed during this period, as shorts were squeezed out of the market.

Analyzing the changes in OI and volumes is crucial for understanding how the derivatives market responds to price movements. Once a niche market catering to a small subset of sophisticated investors, Bitcoin derivatives have grown to become a market foundation. The tens of billions in open contracts across products show that derivatives are significant and important enough to affect the broader crypto market. 

Data from CoinGlass indicates a growing bullish sentiment among traders, with a notable preference for call options and a high volume of short liquidations. This behavior suggests that traders are positioning for further price appreciation in Bitcoin. If this bullish sentiment persists and is supported by continued positive price action, we may see further increases in open interest and trading volumes, potentially driving Bitcoin’s price higher.

The post Derivatives saw spike in Open Interest and volume as Bitcoin broke $66k appeared first on CryptoSlate.

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Aave Introduces Aave 2030 Roadmap https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81213 https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81213#respond Fri, 17 May 2024 10:47:11 +0000 https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81213

Quick Take

  • Aave introduces Aave 2030

  • Aave V4 Unified Liquidity Layer.

  • Redstone goes live on mainnet.

  • Agora launches its governance platform.


Harpie is an onchain security solution that protects your wallet from theft in realtime. Harpie helps you detect and block suspicious transactions before they execute, safeguarding your assets from malicious attacks and scams. Try Harpie for free at harpie.io/ethdaily.


Aave Introduces Aave 2030 Roadmap

Aave Labs introduced Aave 2030, a comprehensive roadmap for advancing the Aave protocol. The roadmap includes the launch of Aave V4, a Cross-Chain Liquidity Layer (CCLL), the introduction of the Aave Network, the integration of Real World Assets (RWAs) with the GHO stablecoin, and an updated visual brand identity. The proposal outlines a three-year implementation timeline. The strategic plan aims to maintain Aave’s position as the top non-LST DeFi protocol. For the first year, Aave Labs is requesting a budget of 15 million GHO and 25,000 stAAVE to fund development. The completion of the Aave V4 code is targeted for Q2 2025. The proposal is currently in a Temp Check phase and is open for community feedback.

Aave V4 Unified Liquidity Layer

Aave V4 is the newest evolution of the Aave protocol, introducing a Unified Liquidity Layer, a new architecture that centralizes liquidity into a single layer. The design enables Aave to support greater modularity, streamline governance, improve capital efficiency, minimize liquidity fragmentation, and more seamlessly integrate GHO. The upgrade includes Fuzzy-controlled Interest Rates, which automatically adjust based on market demand to optimize efficiency. Aave V4 also introduces Liquidity Premiums that adjust borrowing costs according to the risk associated with a collateral. It will also incorporate Smart Accounts to further enhance the user experience.

Redstone L2 Goes Live On Mainnet

Redstone, a gaming-focused L2 network built on the OP Stack, is now live on public mainnet. The launch features a native bridge, a Uniswap v3-based DEX called Redswap and an NFT marketplace called Redstone Market. The network uses chain id 690. Users can now bridge to Restdtone to mint a commemorative launch day NFT. Redstone is designed for ultra-low-cost transactions by using an Alternative Data Availability (Alt-DA). Instead of posting DA to Ethereum L1, Redstone posts a data commitment hash to L1 and maintains its input state offchain. It also features a permissionless challenge system to ensure data integrity and security. Users can now interact with the network through daily quests.

Agora Launches Governance Platform

Agora, a governance tooling platform optimized for DAO voting, is now open for general availability. Any DAO or decentralized project can now register to set up its own community governance portal via Agora. The portal features support for delegation, delegate profiles, delegate discovery, and proposal voting. Agora also announced a $5 million funding round led by Haun Ventures. Agora already powers governance portals for Optimism, Uniswap, and NounsDAO.

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The Coney New York Casino Unveils Scope for $3B Development https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81218 https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81218#respond Fri, 17 May 2024 10:43:22 +0000 https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81218

The Coney has unveiled specifics of the $3 billion integrated resort casino it seeks to build in New York City by way of southwestern Brooklyn.

The Coney New York casino resort
An artist’s rendering of The Coney, a proposed $3 billion development targeting Brooklyn’s Coney Island. The integrated resort casino project would create thousands of jobs and transform the beach town from a seasonal terminus into a year-round destination. (Image: The Coney)

A project from a consortium consisting of Saratoga Casino Holdings, the Chickasaw Nation’s Global Gaming Solutions, Legends Hospitality Group, and Thor Equities, The Coney targets five acres of land in Coney Island at Surf and Stillwell avenues. The blueprint includes a 500-room hotel, a 2,500-seat concert venue, over a dozen restaurants and bars, 90,000 square feet of meeting space, and a “world-class gaming facility.”

In unveiling the details of the proposed casino destination, the developers pledged to include “dedicated locations” inside the resort for locally owned businesses and to hire “thousands” of people with a preference given to area residents. The Coney would also feature more than an acre of publicly accessible open space along the famed Boardwalk.

For two years we have been speaking with the residents of Coney Island and Southern Brooklyn about the need for a project that creates careers, supports local businesses, and centers entertainment around the idea of a playground that is truly accessible to the people,” Sam Gerrity, CEO of Saratoga Casino Holdings, said in a release. “We have heard time and time again that Coney Island needs a project that provides year-round economic support while also lifting up the infrastructure in one of the most densely traveled areas of the community.”

The Coney will do just that, Gerrity said.

“Situated in the middle of a preexisting entertainment district steps away from one of NYC’s most iconic historical landmarks, The Coney just makes sense,” Gerrity added in reference to the nearby Cyclone roller coaster and Wonder Wheel Ferris wheel.

Bidding Pool

The Coney is one of several projects in the casino race for the three gaming licenses earmarked for the downstate region. The New York Gaming Facility Location Board is expected to decide next year which three bids will receive the coveted gaming licenses that come with a hefty $500 million fee.

The Coney is one of 10 bids being prepped for submission. Among the likely bidding pool are Caesars Entertainment, Wynn Resorts, Hard Rock International, Las Vegas Sands, and Bally’s.

Many gaming analysts believe two of the concessions are already spoken for by MGM Resorts and Genting. Those firms respectively own and operate Empire City Casino in Yonkers and Resorts World New York City in Queens. The properties currently can only offer slot-like video lottery terminals and electronic table games.

Casino Mystery

The Coney’s casino seems to be an afterthought in the blueprint presentation. While specific details including approximate square footage for the hotel, convention, entertainment, and food and beverage spaces are detailed, nothing about what the casino would encompass was described.

The bid instead focuses on the economic and livability benefits the project would deliver. That could play well in strengthening its odds, as the location board says each pitch’s proposed “economic activity and business development” impact will carry the most weight in the evaluation process.

The Coney says it has secured the support of more than 10K area residents via signature canvassing.

“The Coney will create a year-round economic engine that will provide thousands of jobs for local residents and will eliminate the seasonal ebbs and flows that have long plagued the local business community,” The Coney release concluded.

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Virginia casino revenue reaches $60.1 million in April, with Rivers Portsmouth on the lead https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81223 https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81223#respond Fri, 17 May 2024 10:43:21 +0000 https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81223

Virginia’s three operational casinos – Hard Rock Hotel & Casino Temporary Bristol, Rivers Casino Portsmouth, and Caesars Virginia – combined to generate over $60.1 million in adjusted gaming revenue and $10. 8 million in gaming tax revenue in April, according to data released by the Virginia Lottery.

Rivers Casino Portsmouth emerged as the top performer, generating $26.4 million in revenue. Virginia’s first permanent casino, which opened its doors in January 2023, boasts 1,466 slot machines and 81 table games. While slot machines brought in $18.4 million, the table games earned $8.01 million. More than $1.5 million in gaming tax will be remitted back to the host city. 

Caesars Virginia, with its temporary facility in Danville operational since May 2023, reported $19.7 million in total revenue comprising $14.4 million in revenue from its 808 slots and $5.2 million from its 33 table games. Its permanent resort casino is slated to open late this year. More than $1.1 million will come back to the city of Danville. 

Hard Rock Hotel & Casino Temporary Bristol, operating since July 2022, reported $13.94 million in revenue for April. Virginia’s first casino generated about $11.03 million from its 911 slots and $2.91 million from its 29 table games. About $836,679 will be remitted back to the host city. 

All three casinos reported less income in April than in March. Portsmouth reported $27.7 million in March, Caesars Virginia reported over $21 million, and Bristol $16.2 million. As a consequence, state gaming tax revenue was $10.82 million, about $1 million less than the previous month.

The casino industry in Virginia continues to expand, with the ongoing construction of the permanent Caesars Virginia and Hard Rock Hotel & Casino Bristol underway. Moreover, plans for future developments, including the $500 million HeadWaters Resort & Casino in Norfolk, indicate further growth prospects for the state’s gaming sector.

Last month, Virginia’s city of Petersburg was added to the list of places eligible for a casino. SB 628, sponsored by Senator Lashrecse Aird, was passed 80-19 with an amendment that removes the reenactment clause. This means the General Assembly opened a path for residents to vote on a referendum to have casino gaming in the city as soon as this November. Later that same month, Petersburg unanimously chose The Cordish Companies to build a casino should voters approve the move in a referendum. 

The Cordish project is expected to generate billions of dollars in economic benefits and spinoff development, create thousands of new jobs and benefits to the local community, and become a major new tourist destination for the City and the Central Virginia region, the company said in a statement. 

The proposed site is situated at the intersection of Wagner Road and Interstate I-95 with easy access on and off the East Coast’s major north-south interstate. The parties propose to open an initial first-phase casino within a year

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Online gambling market expected worth $35 billion by 2029 https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81225 https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81225#respond Fri, 17 May 2024 10:43:20 +0000 https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81225

When it comes to entertainment and commerce, very few sectors have enjoyed such a meteoric rise to the top of the growth charts, like the online gambling industry, where the two have come together seamlessly. Over the past ten years, the online gambling industry has undergone a digital revolution, changing how people play these games of chance and skill, allowing the industry to reach never-before-seen heights. According to recent reports, the online gambling market will be worth a colossal $35 billion by 2029, making it one of the most lucrative spaces in the world. This article looks at how this could happen, what this could mean for the wider gambling industry, and what the key motivating factors might be.

Technology is advancing rapidly, which bodes well for the online entertainment and gambling industry, especially those seeking more immersive experiences. With smartphones becoming a mainstay in our pockets and high-speed internet more accessible than ever, consumers have instant access to online platforms, such as the BetMGM Online Casino, where they can play various games.

This becomes even more gripping when we consider virtual reality (VR) and augmented reality (AR) technologies, which have the potential to blur the lines between the virtual and physical worlds and further elevate the online gambling experience. Once this technology becomes more mainstream, we expect to see more casinos integrate it, which could replace (or at least extend the reach of) traditional brick-and-mortar casinos.

With artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning algorithms becoming more powerful with each passing day, we expect players to be able to play again in the house without ever knowing — bots are likely to have unique, human-like personalities. If all of this can come together and casinos can find the perfect balance, this could go a long way in ensuring that the online gambling industry will meet that $35 billion market value by 2029.

Regulatory Changes and Market Expansion

Another critical factor that can’t be overlooked when forecasting the growth of the online gambling industry is the ever-changing regulatory environment, which will be crucial to market expansion and diversification. This is a relatively new phenomenon, so governments have been slow to introduce restrictive legislation, which has benefited online casinos and betting shops.

However, in recent years, many governments worldwide have started to recognize the economic potential of legalizing and regulating online gambling, which has led to a wave of reforms aimed at legitimizing the industry while safeguarding consumers. There’s still a long way to go, and there needs to be greater protections in place for consumers, but finding the right balance is essential for continued, sustainable growth.

In the United States, which is a pivotal market when it comes to online gambling, we are seeing sports betting, in particular, become more commonplace after decades of regulation and blacklisting. What was once outlawed due to fears of corruption has become a mainstay in sports arenas and college campuses, allowing the likes of DraftKings and Fanatics to become household names relatively quickly.

Shifting Consumer Behaviors and Demographics

Fast-changing consumer demographics in the United States will play a vital role in the trajectory of the online gambling industry, and while much of this is still unknown, there are some insights we can gain from current trends. 

We know that Gen Z is less competitive when playing games, as seen with the new version of Scrabble, and they’re more likely to play on their mobile phones instead of desktop.

The pandemic accelerated this preference for online experience because we were forced to opt for this, so when things opened up again, people were happy sticking with what they’d been doing for the past few years. According to Survation, as reported in The Guardian, gambling did not suffer a dip during the lockdowns despite the lack of real-world sports, suggesting a shift to chance-based online casino games. 

We are seeing online gambling become a daily fixture in our lives. From television and online video ads to sponsorships on sports jerseys, it’s become a mainstay in modern culture. 

Gambling is becoming more socially acceptable in most parts of society, appealing to both casual players and seasoned professionals, which is largely thanks to its increased accessibility. Overall, the online gambling market now caters to a diverse audience spanning various age groups and socio-economic backgrounds, which will help the market reach a value of $35 billion by 2029.

Embracing the Future of Online Gambling

As we continue on our path toward a more digital age, the online gambling industry looks set for a period of unprecedented growth and innovation. While many fluctuating factors influence this outcome, it is a real possibility and has the potential to change how we play forever. From technological advancements to shifting consumer sentiment toward gambling, this is a fascinating time for the wider gambling industry.

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U.S. Senate Votes to Kill SEC's Crypto Accounting Policy, Testing Biden's Veto Threat https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81229 https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81229#respond Fri, 17 May 2024 10:43:19 +0000 https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81229

“It is clear there is overwhelming opposition to SAB 121, and I urge President Joe Biden to reconsider his previous statement of intent to veto the resolution. The President should sign my resolution to ensure the SEC reverses course and sets America on a path to growing our digital financial future,” he said.

Because they sought to kill the policy with the Congressional Review Act, a successful reversal would – by law – mean the SEC wouldn’t be able to pursue similar policies in the future, which the White House statement suggested “could also inappropriately constrain the SEC’s ability to ensure appropriate guardrails and address future issues related to crypto-assets including financial stability.”

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Alibaba Stock Soars After Strong JD.com Results, But Is BABA Stock A Buy Now? https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81231 https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81231#respond Fri, 17 May 2024 10:43:19 +0000 https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81231

Alibaba stock held a 6% gain in afternoon trading Thursday, helped by a revenue beat from JD.com (JD). Alibaba stock is back above a key support level, but is BABA stock a buy now?

Chinese online retailer JD.com isn’t the growth engine it once was, but investors liked the fact that earnings and revenue growth accelerated slightly from the prior quarter, up 13% and 2%, respectively.

Sellers hits Alibaba (BABA) hard Tuesday despite a slight revenue beat, although buyers pushed the stock well of lows by the close.




X



On an adjusted basis, Alibaba earned $1.40 a share, down 10% year over year. Revenue edged higher by 1% to $30.7 billion.

Alibaba also announced a two-part dividend. It includes an annual cash dividend of $1 per American depository share and a “one-time extraordinary cash dividend” of 66 cents per ADS. The total dividend will cost $4 billion, the company said.

In late March, Alibaba abandoned plans to list its logistics arm in Hong Kong, but the news didn’t do anything to lift Alibaba stock out of its downtrend.

Alibaba hoped the listing of its Cainiao Smart Logistics Network would raise $1 billion at a minimum. But Alibaba pulled the listing, citing overall weakness in the Hong Kong stock market.

The cancellation of the listing poses more challenges to a restructuring plan announced last year by Alibaba, which would’ve split the e-commerce giant into six separate companies.

Not that long ago, Alibaba abandoned plans to spin off its cloud computing unit. It also delayed a listing of its Freshippo grocery unit.

In early November 2020, Chinese authorities suspended the $34.5 billion Ant Group IPO in Shanghai and Hong Kong. Ant Group is the fintech arm of Alibaba.

Recent Earnings

BABA stock rallied sharply on Feb. 6 after the company reported fiscal Q3 revenue of $36.7 billion, up 2% from the year-ago quarter and slightly above the $36.16 billion consensus. But adjusted profit fell 4% to $2.67 a a share.

Investors also liked the fact that Alibaba added $25 billion to its share buyback program through March 2027.

Three months earlier, Alibaba stock plunged in mid-November despite reporting an 18% rise in quarterly profit and 6% increase in revenue.

BABA stock surged on Jan. 23 on reports that co-founder Jack Ma and business associate Joe Tsai have been buying shares of BABA stock in recent months.

According to an SEC filing, Tsai purchased $151 million in Alibaba stock in the fourth quarter via his Blue Pool Management family fund. Ma, meanwhile, bought $50 million worth of Alibaba stock. Ma stepped down as the company’s chairman in 2019 and remains a big shareholder.

Alibaba came under selling pressure on Sept. 11 after outgoing CEO Daniel Zhang unexpectedly stepped down as head of the company’ cloud business.

The company said in June that Zhang was departing as chairman and CEO of the company to focus on Alibaba’s cloud intelligence unit. In May, Alibaba announced plans to spin off its cloud business as a separate, publicly traded company.

In December, the company said that CEO Eddie Wu would take over the company’s struggling e-commerce business.

Alibaba Stock News

Alibaba stock soared above its 200-day moving average on July 7 after Chinese regulators fined Alibaba’s financial arm, Ant Group, just under $1 billion.

Chinese regulators halted Ant Group’s IPO in late 2020 for not meeting listing requirements. In April 2021, regulators hit Alibaba with $2.8 billion fine in an anti-monopoly probe. But after three years of regulatory scrutiny, optimism is building that Beijing is close to ending its crackdown on tech firms.

In March 2023, Alibaba announced plans to separate into six separate units.

The company said each business will have the ability raise outside funding and even pursue an IPO. According to report, the company would likely hold on to its cloud/artificial intelligence business and its giant e-commerce operations.

  • Cloud Intelligence
  • Taobao Tmall Commerce
  • Local Services
  • Cainiao Smart Logistics
  • Global Digital Commerce
  • Digital Media and Entertainment

China/U.S. Relations

Sentiment was weak around Chinese stocks in October after the Biden administration announced new restrictions on China’s access to U.S. semiconductor technology, including restrictions on the exports of some types of chips used in supercomputing and artificial intelligence. It also imposed tighter rules on the sale of chip equipment to China.

Alibaba stock rallied sharply in late August last year on reports that Beijing and U.S. regulators were close to an audit-inspection deal.

Increased regulatory scrutiny has weighed on Alibaba and other Chinese stocks for the past couple of years. Besides a strict regulatory environment, Chinese stocks have also been dealing with a slowing economy.

In April 2020, China regulators fined Alibaba $2.8 billion after an antimonopoly probe. At the time, it looked like BABA stock was ready to break out of a downtrend. But the stock got turned away at its 50-day moving average. It tried to rally above the 50-day line again in late April but sellers knocked the stock lower again.

Alibaba Stock Fundamental Analysis

The company has a five-year annualized earnings growth rate of 6%, although fundamentals have weakened considerably in recent quarters.


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Alibaba’s Composite Rating of 67 (on a scale of 1-99 with 99 being the best) is lukewarm and is hurt by soft fundamentals and weak 12-month price performance.

But annual return on equity of 14% helps give Alibaba a respectable SMR Rating (sales + margins + return on equity) of B from IBD Stock Checkup (on an A-to-E scale with A tops).

The Stock Checkup tool quickly identifies group leaders based on a combination of fundamental and technical factors.


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According to Zacks, Alibaba is expected to earn $7.98 a share in its current fiscal year 2025, down 7% compared to fiscal 2024. For fiscal 2026, earnings are expected to rise 14% to $9.07 a share.

Click here to the top-rated stocks in the group.

Alibaba Stock Technical Analysis

Alibaba’s relative strength line started to swing higher when the stock bottomed in the second half of April.

A stock’s relative strength line, found in daily and weekly charts at Investors.com, compares the stock’s daily price performance to the S&P 500. An upward-sloping RS line means the stock is outperforming the S&P 500. A downward-sloping line means the stock is lagging the S&P 500.

Alibaba’s Accumulation/Distribution Rating is solid at B+. The rating is helped by several higher-volume gains in recent weeks.

BABA Stock: Is It A Buy Now?

Overhead supply issues were a concern for Alibaba stock when the stock was more than 30% off its high. Now Alibaba stock is back above all of its key moving averages

Alibaba stock gapped above its 50-day line on Nov. 15 and closed near its session high on a strong day overall for Chinese stocks. Normally, it would’ve been a buy signal but BABA’s 200-day moving average at the time around 89.50 was a potential resistance level to watch.

Alibaba stock struggled to make progress after climbing off lows in January. But buyers pushed the stock sharply higher ahead of its fiscal Q4 report.

Buyers pushed Alibaba off lows Tuesday, resulting in a strong close for a down session. With Alibaba holding above its 200-day moving average, and the stock market on a confirmed uptrend, Alibaba is actionable now.

Follow Ken Shreve on Twitter at @IBD_KShreve for more market insight and analysis right now.

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US Inflation Eases Slightly; Gold’s Gains Resume https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81233 https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81233#respond Fri, 17 May 2024 10:43:18 +0000 https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81233

The euro has bounced more aggressively than gold against the dollar since the middle of last month as economic conditions and, possibly, rates in the EU and USA show more signs of converging. Eurozone-wide annual headline inflation has been 2.4% for two months running and seems likely to remain below 3% for the rest of the year barring significant surprising circumstances.

The upward movement gained significant momentum on 15 May but the price has now moved into overbought based on the slow stochastic. With a new high having been reached around $1.09, there’s the possibility that this might be a new uptrend. However, to trade on this basis would probably mean waiting for a higher low both for confirmation of the possible uptrend and to reduce the risk associated with entering around a five-week high. Buyers would also probably look for neutral signals from Bands and the stochastic and increasing volume of buying before committing themselves.

The death cross of the 50 SMA below the 200 might be ignored given the fundamental situation and recent candlesticks, but this value area could be important if there’s a retracement lower over the next few days. $1.10 is an obvious candidate for the next key resistance while a move back below $1.075 seems unlikely unless there’s a major driver from news. Final eurozone-wide inflation at 9.00 GMT on 17 May is unlikely to be surprising, so the next major release for the euro is German GDP on Friday 24 May.

This article was submitted by Michael Stark, an analyst at Exness.

The opinions in this article are personal to the writer. They do not reflect those of Exness or FX Empire.

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Understanding Bitcoin UTXO management and its impact on transaction efficiency and privacy https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81235 https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81235#respond Fri, 17 May 2024 10:43:17 +0000 https://www.seethereality.com/?p=81235

Bitcoin’s design contains a unique way of handling transactions through the Unspent Transaction Output (UTXO) model. While this model provides enhanced security and privacy compared to traditional account-based systems, it also presents challenges in efficiently managing one’s Bitcoin holdings. This article delves into the concept of UTXO management, its importance, and strategies to optimize transaction fees and maintain privacy.

What are UTXOs?

UTXOs represent discrete amounts of bitcoin that have been received but not yet spent. Each UTXO is like an individual bill in your wallet, with its own unique value. When you receive Bitcoin, a new UTXO is created and added to your wallet balance. To spend bitcoin, you must use one or more UTXOs as inputs in a transaction.

The UTXO model differs from the account-based model used by other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum. In the account model, balances are maintained globally, and transactions update these balances directly. In contrast, the UTXO model records transactions as a directed acyclic graph, with each transaction consuming existing UTXOs and creating new ones.

Why UTXO Management Matters

As you receive and spend bitcoin, your wallet can accumulate numerous UTXOs of varying sizes. Having too many small UTXOs can lead to several issues:

  • Higher Transaction Fees: Bitcoin transaction fees are based on the size of the transaction data, not the amount being sent. Each UTXO used as an input adds to the transaction size, resulting in higher fees.
  • Reduced Privacy: Consolidating many small UTXOs into a single transaction can potentially link your addresses and expose your total holdings.
  • Wallet Performance: Some wallets, especially hardware wallets, may struggle to handle transactions with many UTXO inputs due to memory and processing limitations.

Proper UTXO management can help mitigate these issues, saving on transaction fees and maintaining better privacy.

UTXO Management Strategies

UTXO consolidation – involves combining multiple small UTXOs into a single larger UTXO by sending a transaction to yourself. This is similar to exchanging a handful of coins for a larger bill. By consolidating UTXOs when network fees are low, you can reduce the number of inputs needed for future transactions, potentially saving on fees.

However, consolidation transactions do incur a fee and can potentially link your addresses, impacting privacy. Using CoinJoin mixers or the Lightning Network can help mitigate privacy concerns where legally appropriate.

Strategic UTXO Selection – Some wallets offer “coin control” features that allow you to select which UTXOs to use in a transaction manually. By strategically choosing UTXOs, you can minimize the number of inputs and optimize transaction sizes.

Automated UTXO Management – Services like Swan Bitcoin offer auto-withdrawal features that allow you to set thresholds for automatic Bitcoin withdrawals to your wallet. This can help manage the size and frequency of your UTXOs without constant manual intervention.

Avoiding Dust UTXOs – Dust refers to tiny amounts of bitcoin that are uneconomical to spend due to transaction fees exceeding their value. Regularly receiving small amounts of bitcoin, such as through dollar-cost averaging, can lead to the accumulation of dust UTXOs.

To avoid creating dust, consider:
– Consolidating UTXOs before they become too small to spend economically
– Using higher auto-withdrawal thresholds when using services like Swan Bitcoin
– Leaving sufficient remaining balances in your wallet to prevent dust change outputs

Conclusion

UTXO management is an essential aspect of using Bitcoin efficiently and securely. By understanding how UTXOs work and employing strategies like consolidation, strategic selection, and automated management, you can optimize your transaction fees, maintain privacy, and ensure the smooth operation of your wallet. As Bitcoin adoption grows and on-chain fees potentially increase, effective UTXO management will become increasingly important for both individual users and businesses transacting in Bitcoin.

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